DEVELOPMENT OF GLOBAL STOCHASTIC TROPICAL CYCLONE MODEL BASED ON TEMPORAL CORRELATION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE PARAMETERS
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity
[1] Tropical cyclone accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) has exhibited strikingly large global interannual variability during the past 40‐years. In the pentad since 2006, Northern Hemisphere and global tropical cyclone ACE has decreased dramatically to the lowest levels since the late 1970s. Additionally, the global frequency of tropical cyclones has reached a historical low. Here evidence is pres...
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The long-term goal of this project is to provide probabilistic genesis forecast guidance to operational forecasters and develop a genesis index to provide guidance for operational dynamical model prediction of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis. Once regions of high TC genesis probability are identified, a movable, multi-nested version of the COAMPS with resolution of roughly 3 km or less in the inn...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Japan Society of Civil Engineers, Ser. B2 (Coastal Engineering)
سال: 2013
ISSN: 1884-2399,1883-8944
DOI: 10.2208/kaigan.69.64